Friday, January 7, 2011

Bad Premise=Bad Science

I am not honestly surprised to read that the study linking autism to MMR vaccines is a fraud. The assumption is often made that the subjects are 'normal' when that is either a complete fabrication or when what we assume normal to be is far from it. Face it, there are really no 'normal' people. They might be 'normal' for something, but that's not necessarily the case.

I have seen a lot of people exclude outliers because they're too far from the normal. They might be the most interesting subjects.

When I worked in industry briefly, we had this 'standard' that we used in our R&D work. This person was supposedly normal, but the sample was for Factor V bloodwork, not for Trisomy 21. We assumed that the person was normal, but we really don't know.

In this case, the authors of the study purposely deceived people and used subjects who were not 'normal'. Besides that, they only studied 12 children? Please.

Don't accept their premise. It is useless to theorize until you collect the facts. Otherwise, you start bending the facts to match the premise, which is basically the underlying fault of all scientific endeavors of which I am aware. They start with a premise and then look for evidence. Too bad. People plan their lives around these findings, many of which prove false, and so we alter things that were just fine before we began.

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